RALEIGH – North Carolina is on track to have more than 1.5 million absentee ballot requests int he 2020 general election, blowing out 2016 numbers. About half a million of those ballots have been returned and accepted already.
According to Dr. Michael Bitzer of Catawba College, using data from the N.C. State Board of Elections, a higher percentage of registered Democrats requested absentee ballots than Republicans. That makes since considering who is embracing Pandemic Panic.
Bitzer updated many more data points via Old North State Politics that shed light on these absentee ballot trends, just one day before the early voting period commences across the state.
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Requests: 1,332,206 (7.5X ahead of 2016 same day requests)
Voters returning ballot (duplicates removed): 517,218 (39% of requested)
Accepted/cured: 505,945 (98% of returned)
Pending cures: 7,193 (1.3% of returned)#ncpol #ncvotes
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
Raw data of NC absentee by mail ballots & duplicate #s, thru 10-13:
In addition, a descriptor table of what the various categories mean for returned status.
NOTE: there is no ‘rejected’ category for NC absentee by mail ballots; they are ‘deficient’ if missing key info pic.twitter.com/zyBzb1NpEB
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Party registrations for requested and those returned & accepted/cured so far
along with %s by parties and ‘accepted rates’ for each party & overall
So far, 38% overall accepted rate#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/epYKdF9nzj
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Numbers of accepted/cured ballots and outstanding ballots, based on party registration and total numbers#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/mUDxQUhTnl
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
%s of registered NC voters who have requested & returned/accepted ABM ballots, by party registrations
18.5% of NC’s 7.2M registered voters have requested ABM
7% of NC voters have had their ballot accepted (thus voted)#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/WMhUISH3J5
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Comparison of 2020 requested ballots to 2016’s same day totals, along with ‘times factor’ model lines (5X, 8X & 10X), through Nov. 2
NC has slightly dropped to 7X ahead of 2016 same day totals of requests#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/LhwYhKwkS0
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Cumulative 2020 daily totals of returned & accepted ballots vs
2016 daily totals of accepted
2016 cumulative totals for requested (231K)
2016 cumulative totals for accepted (~200K)based on days out from Election Day #ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/tWvoH20HCx
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Comparison of total returned & accepted cumulative daily totals from 2016 & 2020, 50 days out from Election Day and by party registration
Columns = 2016 by party
Lines = 2020 by party#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/p5Pt6p03vr— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Return status by party registrations
Overall, 98% of returned NC ABM ballots have been processed for acceptance.
Ballots will be scanned & readied for tabulation on Nov. 3 (NO results will be released early)#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/hkn2Zk8LWt
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC accepted absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:#s & %s of Vote Methods in 2016 and/or Registration Status, by Voter Party Registration
26% of NC 2020 ABM voters did not vote in 2016
(either were registered in 2016 but didn’t vote OR registered after 2016)#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/SUzDgimfye
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Return status by voter race-ethnicity
Notably, 96% of NC Black voters who have returned NC ABM ballots have been processed/accepted; lower accepted rate than other races/ethnicities
Potential explanation in next tweet#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/t3ORJVTu8D
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:#s & %s of Vote Methods in 2016 and/or Registration Status, by Voter Race-Ethnicity
Only 5% of NC Black voters voted by mail in 2016
74% voted in-person in 2016
Potential lack of familiarity w/ ABM could be reason#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/AktZz9rDmi
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Ballots NOT accepted are either ‘spoiled’ or ‘deficient’ (NOT rejected) due to issues
Total of 1.3% are ‘pending cure’ & are in limbo until legal challenges resolved
45% of pending cure are White; 40% are Black#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/YzfenGw7Id
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
New chart for NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-13:
Returned & Accepted ballots by congressional district, with voter party registration
CD ‘ratings’ provided by @CookPolitical #ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/VcKp5XwYG2
— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 14, 2020
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