RALEIGH – Monday we highlighted favorability rankings of the all U.S. Senators and how our very own Thom Tillis placed dead last in popularity. As bad as his numbers are, the Republican support in that polling at least kept him above water. However, that could be changing according to polling conducted by Republican primary contender challenger Garland Tucker as Republican support for Tillis appears to be sinking like a rock.
From the Tucker campaign:
“You see it once every thirty or forty years in politics: An incumbent Senator collapsing in his own primary.
Garland Tucker announced in May. Months earlier he had taken a poll and, after airing TV ads in May, June and July, he polled again. The poll, a random sample of 500 people who vote in the Republican Primaries, was done by Diversified Research which was founded by the late Arthur Finklestein who polled for North Carolina Senators Jesse Helms, John East and Lauch Faircloth.
The ballot question tells the story of what happened to Thom Tillis.
Ballot: In the campaign’s first poll, taken before Thom Tillis flip-flopped on President Trump’s Border Emergency Declaration and when Garland Tucker was unknown, Tillis led then by 56 points. In the July poll Tillis’ world turned upside down:
|1st Poll||July Poll||+/-|
Tillis plummeted by 46 plus points, ending up with only 40% of the Republican Primary voters supporting him – a thin number for an incumbent Senator.”
Ouch. That’s quite an accelerated decent, especially for a senator that’s already so unpopular. Granted, there’s no indication of when in July the poll was taken, which could make a difference being that President Donald Trump gave Tillis some obligatory shout-outs during a campaign rally in eastern North Carolina last week.
Still, with nearly a third of voters undecided and Tillis support taking such a dive, his reelection campaign has got to be worried.
Further, the polling indicates that a growing chunk of likely primary voters now view Tillis for the RINO that he is:
“Ideology of Thom Tillis: Voters were asked, Would you say Thom Tillis is Liberal, Moderate or Conservative in his political beliefs?
|1st Poll||July Poll||Change|
Voters now view Thom Tillis as more Liberal/Moderate (by 17 points) and as Less Conservative (by 12 points) – a net change of 29 points.”
It is certainly not an easy task to unseat an incumbent U.S. Senator, especially one that has ingratiated himself to the establishment powers of the Swamp. But if you’re going to have a chance, it definitely helps that the incumbent is the most unpopular senator in the country and getting worse still.