RALEIGH – Ever since Roy Cooper limped his way into the Governor’s Mansion as a result of the 2016 elections (and some late hour ballots found in Durham), Democrats have been telling anyone that would listen that there was a ‘Blue Wave’ coming to the shores of the Old North State in the 2018 elections.
#BreaktheMajority was trendy among Tar Heel Leftists on Twitter, and they really bought into the idea that Republican super-majorities, even the majority itself, in the General Assembly were vulnerable to an animated Democratic base that was inspiring the state to push back against those dastardly Republican policies of cutting taxes and family values.
A new poll from Meredith College in Raleigh is painting a picture that is a little less blue than Democrats were hoping for. Actually, it’s kind of rosy – rosy Republican Red.
“A large majority of respondents to our survey indicated that they were very likely to vote in the 2018 elections. Although unsurprising, given that the sample was screened for those who had a prior history of midterm voting, the response to the question indicates that there appears to be no enthusiasm gap between Democratic, Republican, and Unaffiliated voters ten months before Election Day.
Not only does there appear to be equal enthusiasm among partisans for voting, but preferences for Congressional and legislative candidates appears to be relatively equal. In terms of Congressional races in North Carolina, voters have a slight preference for Republican candidates (45.2-43.5). The same holds true for legislative races, although the gap is smaller (43.3 R to 42.5 D). The large number of undecided voters will be significant, as usual, in determining the outcome of the relatively few competitive Congressional and legislative races in North Carolina.”
In wave elections, the wave is usually generated by enthusiasm on one side of the ballot. With no perceivable gap in enthusiasm. As much as Democrats would like to believe their litigious whining and Leftist radicalism is making waves among the voting public, it simply isn’t so. A ripple at best, and you can’t surf a ripple into office.
What’s more, the ‘undecided’ voters that always show up in these polls are never really as ‘undecided’ as that designation makes them appear. Undecided and Unaffiliated voters have their own ideas about politics that are not as easily swayed as pollsters and moderate politicians would have you believe.
For one, A LOT of unaffiliated voters simply left one of the major two parties in protest of that party’s drift from it’s stated principles. That means these voters have very clear and settles positions on politics and who and what they will vote for, despite their choice to eschew a party label.
This poll shows that Democrats’ fantasy is just that – a fantasy. Republicans will likely hold onto their super-majority in the state legislature and North Carolina’s congressional delegation. And Democrats will continue to sue ’til their blue…in the face.
Take a look at the rest of the poll here.