WASHINGTON, D.C. – Despite weeks of The Big Impeachment Show, with the final act climaxing with a vote to impeach the president on two separate articles, President Donald Trump is leading polls against the Democratic field challenging him in 2020.
Polls are always to be taken with a grain of salt, of course. The poll makers, takers, and readers can all exert their own effort to shape their own or others’ opinion. However, while individual polls are always suspect, larger trends in public sentiment readings tend to signal something tangible. That’s especially true when it cuts against conventional wisdom.
Continuing an unexpected trend since the beginning of the impeachment inquiry hearings, Trump’s numbers have been going UP in many polls. Support for impeachment dropped as the theater wore on, and now a YouGov/Economist poll shows the president handily beating each of his potential Democratic opponents in terms of electability.
The closest to Trump was Biden, though still coming up short by 6 points (46-40). The rest:
Trump/Bernie Sanders – 57%-31%.
Trump/Elizabeth Warren – 57%-27%.
Trump/Pete Buttigieg – 59%-18%.
The pollsters interpreting results painted a picture in which, in spite of all the Trump hate being amplified by the media, more people think he is going to win reelection than not.
“At the moment, registered voters don’t think any of the Democratic frontrunners will defeat the president next November. Biden comes closest: 40% of registered voters think he will win, while 46% believe the president will be re-elected if Biden is the nominee. Among Democrats, only Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders have a majority that believes they can win.”
The pollsters also found indication that support for the president is my widespread when measured in different terms. While a generic approval rating pits Trump around 40 percent in this poll, they also found more than 50 percent of respondents approve of his handling of the economy. Such support on the pocketbook policy front is a good omen going into 2020, if it remains on it’s steady march and avoids any pitfalls before the election. In the immortal words of James Carville, ‘the economy, stupid.’
As we see Biden, or Warren, or Mayor Pete pandering for votes in this important swing state and others, they’ll be doing so to a public that doesn’t have much confidence in their chances of success. Probably because their success would mean America’s failure.
Read the full poll results here.