RALEIGH – Did you know that the number of ‘active cases’ of SARS_CoV2 has been falling in North Carolina since mid-July? What’s that you say; the media narrative has pumped up the need for more lockdowns amid ‘Second Wave’ fears and the Double Whammy of Flu Season?
It’s funny how that works, isn’t it? With well over a million tests conducted, and nearly 200,000 ‘cases,’ more than 3,000 deaths are attributed to the virus. The deaths, tragic as they are, befell those that are overwhelmingly old and infirm.
Hospitalizations have been sinking; new deaths attributed to the virus have slowed to a trickle; and, busting up the fear narrative even further, ‘Active Cases’ have fallen to a 2 month low.
From John Locke Foundation’s Jon Sanders:
For the second week in a row, and the sixth time in the past eight weeks, active cases in NC have fallen. This is one of the biggest untold stories about COVID-19 in North Carolina. Last week was yet another week there were more presumed recoveries from COVID-19 than new known cases. Further down I’ll give a rundown of statistics, milestones, and implications of this ignored encouraging news.
Why your risk from a chance encounter with anyone is indistinguishable from zero
People with active cases of COVID-19 are the only people in the state who can conceivably infect anyone. Even so, that doesn’t mean they are all equally infectious. They’re not. Furthermore, it doesn’t mean every encounter with someone with an active case is equally risky. It isn’t. […]”
But, Governor Roy Cooper and Health Czar Mandy Cohen, tell us we cannot risk opening a bar, or attending a college football game, because the risk is too great? They say that older kids cannot go to school because ‘the science.’
How could it be that our everyday routine is not, in fact, full of COVID-19 landmines waiting to be stepped on?
“[…] As discussed in detail here, “The most reliable science on COVID-19 tells us that the more you’re in close contact with someone infected and symptomatic, and the more severe the case, the higher your risk of contracting it.”
Pay attention to those stipulations. The person must be someone you are in (a) close contact with over a (b) long period of time while (c) infected and (d) symptomatic, especially the (e) more severe their infection.
The next sentence: “On the other hand, your risk from a brief encounter with someone at a grocery store, someone walking from the door to the restaurant table, or someone going past on a public sidewalk is indistinguishable from zero.”
Seeing someone in the same store as you or that person walking past your table or other brief encounter (such as standing in line to vote) — not a close contact, no prolonged period of time, and a 99.83% likelihood of not even having an infection of any severity — presents essentially no risk to you at all, even without a cloth mask. This mass hysteria fanned by the Cooper administration and media is completely unwarranted and unhealthy. […]”
Wow; it’s almost as if we could reasonably move on with our lives and livelihoods while employing some basic common sense around protecting the vulnerable populations.
Of the almost 200,000 ‘cases’ accumulated in our state, Sanders points out that more than 176,000 of them are ‘recovered cases.’ This throws some cold water on the hysterical push to keep fear at levels sufficient to support lockdown policies.
View more charts, graphs, and statistics from Jon Sanders here.