By the Numbers: NC Absentee Ballot Trends Analysis from Dr. Michael Bitzer

RALEIGH – Over 300,000 absentee ballots have already been returned and accepted according to data from the N.C. State Board of Elections. That is nearly a third of the over 1.1 million absentee ballot requests made.

Dr. Michael Bitzer, of Catawba College also rounds out the political science crew at Old North State politics, and they have an excellent thread to help visualize the trends in the data we have so far.

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Requested: 1,157,606 (~10X ahead of 2016 same day requests)

Returned (duplicates removed): 329,053 (28% of requested)

Accepted/cured: 319,205 (97% of returned)

Pending cures: 7,660 (2% of returned)

All return status:#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/aYwEHyomAk

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Party registrations for requested and those returned & accepted/cured so far#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/kFG6XkcRG5

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Party registration %s for requested ballots & returned & accepted ballots

Note: ‘accepted rate’ is based on returned/accepted #s divided by requested #s (without duplicates included)

Overall: ~28% accepted rate#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/zZDGXkhg0X

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Numbers of accepted/cured ballots and outstanding ballots, based on party registration and total numbers#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/5Zujvho45A

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

%s of registered NC voters who have requested and returned/accepted ABM ballots, by party registrations

16% of NC’s 7.1M registered voters have requested ABM

4.5% of NC voters have had their ballot accepted #ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/dppr0izxny

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Comparison of 2020 requested ballots to 2016’s same day totals, along with ‘times factor’ model lines (8X, 10X, & 15X), through Nov. 2

NC has slipped slightly below 10X ahead of 2016 same day totals#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/RfITyK52uE

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Daily totals of returned & accepted ballots #ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/d6SS0g2N3d

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Cumulative 2020 daily totals of returned & accepted ballots against 2016 daily cumulative totals and final 2016 total (~200K), based on days out from Election Day #ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/SuGxMqFUAW

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Daily totals of returned & accepted/cured ballots by party registration#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/WOw2rybZpm

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Comparison of total returned & accepted cumulative daily totals from 2016 & 2020, 50 days out from Election Day and by party registration

Columns are 2016 by party
Lines are 2020 by party#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/HUMnDKZ8SY

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:

Return status by party registrations

Overall, 97% of returned NC ABM ballots have been processed/accepted to be scanned for Nov. 3 (tabulation will NOT occur until polls close on Nov. 3)#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/C0H6IvYDNf

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

NC absentee by mail ballots, thru 10-1:#s and %s of Vote Methods in 2016 and/or Registration Status, by Voter Party Registration#ncpol #ncvotes pic.twitter.com/Q3tiZPZj4Q

— Old North State Politics (@OldNorthStPol) October 2, 2020

Head to Old North State Politics for more thorough analysis of election trends by the numbers.